Online Football Wagering
2010 NFL Betting Tactics
2010-08-23
The 2010 NFL season is drawing closer day by day which means that there are going to be many people who’d be interested in earning a share from their favorite team’s wins too. Then there’d be those who’re new to the whole art of betting for a NFL team. This article gives a basic way of tackling betting in NFL.
Most betters have some predetermined idea when they are betting. They always have something specific in their mind to move forward. And what this article’s function is to further set and seal this bet so as to increase the probability of winning for those who’re betting.
If you think your team has a chance at winning then you need to keep a few tabs in your mind to help you in betting in the future. Pick all your matches the same way as you do but the team should have a minimum of 52.5 percent edge over the other teams so as to break even. This means that a team that is given 11, 12 or 13 points is a team to be looked out for. Remember to go through the NFL schedule so as to have an idea of the underdogs who are playing at home. Now what needs to be done is to contrast the surface of the stadium of the team which is playing at home versus the stadium surface of the team playing away is used at playing on. This makes betting for a team easy because then what you only need to do is choose the home underdog team since they have a lesser advantage in winning at a new turf.
Some other things that you need to look before betting for a certain NFL team are –
1. The team has won a minimum of at least one game at home and away.
2. The team has a positive yielding/winning ratio probably a 63 percent or more.
3. The team should not be last in defense or offense in their division.
You need to set only a reasonable amount of money for every game especially if you are a beginner. You need to have a certain grasp of the game before you begin a full-fledged betting on NFL. Unadventurous betting would keep you safe while increasing your profit even though it would be a slow start. Betting is exciting. So if you want a good 2010 NFL season, bet with caution and keep your cool under stress. Head over to www.sportsbook.com the home of Football Betting today and get in on the action.
NFL: ARIZONA vs. NEW ORLEANS (4:30 PM ET, FOX)
2010-01-15
After surviving Green Bay in the highest scoring playoff game in NFL history, the defending NFC champion Cardinals will head to New Orleans accompanied by the highest posted postseason total since at least ’92. That number for this divisional playoff clash has been set at 57 at Sportsbook.com, with the host Saints installed as TD favorites. Not surprisingly, bettors are on the OVER at a 4-1 rate, but interestingly, 62% are actually siding with the underdogs.
The Saints are the #1 seed, but come in on a 3-game losing streak after starting 13-0. New Orleans is 11-4 SU & 9-5-1 ATS at home over the L2 seasons and has scored 32.1 PPG in those. The Cardinals have played their best football on the road this season, going 6-2 SU & 4-3-1 ATS while yielding just 17.4 PPG. They have covered five straight playoff games. These teams have only met twice since ’00, with the host team taking both SU & ATS.
After 90 points and 1,024 yards of offense, a strip/sack by Michael Adams in overtime and the ensuing fumble return by Karlos Dansby catapulted Arizona past Green Bay, 51-45, in the highest-scoring playoff game in NFL history.
As far as the Cardinals opponent, the NFC’s top-seeded New Orleans Saints are concerned, only one positive could come out of Arizona’s wild win that featured a Hall of Fame performance by Kurt Warner, who completed 29 of 33 passes for 379 yards and five touchdowns. That glimmer of light would be the switch that Arizona flicked on after a 3-3 finish in the regular season. New Orleans, like the Cardinals, enters its first playoff game on a slide, having watched a 13-0 start deteriorate into a 13-3 finish.
Drew Brees finished second to Peyton Manning in the NFL MVP voting, tying a career-high with 34 touchdown passes, while throwing a personal-low 11 interceptions in 514 attempts. No quarterback in the NFL, aside from possibly Manning and Warner, uses as extensive a collection of receivers as Brees. Regardless of who’s in the lineup, Brees will throw the ball. Seven different receivers have pulled in at least 39 passes, and the list doesn’t even include Lance Moore, who missed nine games after catching 79 balls last season.
Warner, too, makes the most of the players around him in the huddle. Steve Breaston and Early Doucet combined for 13 catches, 202 yards and three touchdowns against the Packers, taking on plenty of extra snaps due to Anquan Boldin’s absence (ankle/knee). Last season’s playoff hero, Larry Fitzgerald, scored twice on his six catches, helping Warner improve his career playoff record to 9-3. He’s also got an eye-opening touchdown-to-interception ratio of 31-to-13.
As explosive as New Orleans’ offense is, however, it’s the play of running backs Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush and Mike Bell that often dictate the direction of a game. In the Saints’ first 11 wins, the ground attack averaged 151.4 yards per game. Beginning in Week 13, however, when things started to unravel in Washington, the Saints averaged a mere 95 yards on the ground in the final five games.
PREDICTION: The Cardinals are as live a road underdog as any after racking up a 6-2 mark away from University of Phoenix Stadium. And last week’s 51-point output had to be chilling for any Saints coach, player or fan to watch. Still, if there is one team that Arizona does not want to get into a shootout with, it’s New Orleans. NEW ORLEANS 38, ARIZONA 17
NFL: Sunday Late Afternoon NFL Kickoffs (4:05 PM ET, FOX & CBS)
2009-10-09
The four late afternoon games in the NFL figure to be a lot more compelling than the entire early menu. Two of the games boast matchups of playoff contenders, while the other two are inter-conference games with home teams hoping to jumpstart their seasons. Here is a look at those two top games, with a prediction on one of them. You can get all the info you need on the full lineup on the BETTING TRENDS, LIVE ODDS, & TEAM STATISTICS pages on Sportsbook.com.
(417) ATLANTA at (418) SAN FRANCISCO
When Atlanta left the NFC West Division in 2002, it meant making fewer trips to San Francisco. That was welcomed news since the Falcons have struggled when visiting the Bay Area, and in fact, are just 1-10 SU & 3-8 ATS in their L11 when visiting the 49ers. That one win came in the most recent trip though, in 2004, and now looks to make it two in row. Atlanta comes in at 2-1 and off its bye week, but the next seven games will make or break its chances for a second straight playoff appearance. San Francisco is 3-1 after knocking off St. Louis and very well could be 4-0. The 49ers seem to be restoring some long lost home field advantage, having gone 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS under Mike Singletary. Atlanta is 9-0-2 UNDER the total in post-bye week games since '99.
(419) NEW ENGLAND at (420) DENVER
There will be plenty of hype surrounding the New England-Denver showdown, for more than the coaching matchup, as Bill Belichick takes on his former offensive coordinator, Josh McDaniels. Surprisingly, it is McDaniels that is receiving more accolades, with his team atop the AFC West. With a 4-0 SU & ATS record and the NFL’s best defense at 6.5 PPG allowed, the Broncos continue a treacherous 8-game stretch as 3-1/2 point home dogs to the 3-1 Patriots. Belichick’s club is seemingly regaining its footing as QB Tom Brady becomes more comfortable. New England boasts a 25-5 SU & 21-7 ATS record as road chalk of less than a TD in the Belichick era. The L7 games these teams have played in Denver have averaged 48 PPG while going OVER the total six times.
StatFox prediction: Having gotten the chance to watch the full games of both New England & Denver last week, I was impressed with both, but more so the Broncos. This team is not overrated, and if there is one thing I’ve learned about the NFL, its that winning can build some very positive momentum for teams, regardless of the perception of that team. How can anyone discount the fact that Denver has allowed 26 points this year. Not 26 points per game mind you, 26 TOTAL points, easily the best in the NFL at 6.5 PPG. Now, there will be plenty of trend reasons to play the Patriots here because of their past and Bill Belichick over Josh McDaniels, etc, but sometimes, it just makes sense to take stock of the teams as they stand NOW, and analyze whether the pointspread set for the game is right. Here it is not. A 4-0 team outscoring opponents by 13.2 PPG should not be a home dog. Play: Denver +3.5
Week 3 NFL Kickoff in Windy City (8:00 PM ET, FOX)
2008-08-21
The Chicago Bears announced early this week that Kyle Orton has been named the starting quarterback for the club to start the season. He’ll get his first chance to impress those fans in his new role on Thursday night when his team hosts the 49ers as a 3-point favorite. At last check 2/3 of the early betting action at Sportsbook.com backs Chicago.
Loyal followers of the Monsters of the Midway shrugged their shoulders in a “so what” fashion at the announcement, understanding their choices were limited to start with. Orton has been a spot starter during his tenure in Chicago and won the job by default as much as any reason, with Rex Grossman putting in a number of lackluster performances on the practice field and in two preseason outings.
The Bears have failed to win or cover both contests in August and have serious issues on the offensive line, which have not helped any of the participating quarterbacks. Top draft choice, tackle Chris Williams' rookie season is in jeopardy following back surgery. Because John Tait played so poorly at the left tackle position a season ago, the Bears have thus far kept him at his more natural right tackle spot, after presuming Williams was the answer in that spot. Journeyman John St. Clair has been inserted at left tackle and the offensive line understandably showed little continuity in loss at Seattle. The Chicago defense has been sliced and diced in yielding 384 yards a game in first two tries. Though these games don’t count (unless your betting), this has to be area of some concern to Bears coaches. Da Bears are 0-5 ATS against teams from the NFC in the preseason.
One has to either give props or question the wisdom of not naming starting quarterback like head coach Mike Nolan has done thus far. Nolan promised open competition, installing Mike Martz’s offense and he has been true to his word, in spite of what many thought was lip service based on investment in number one 2005 pick Alex Smith. Insiders report Smith has been more up and down in practice than a San Francisco trolley car learning the offense and vagabond signal caller, J.T. O'Sullivan has been the most consistent quarterback in camp, having the benefit of being with Martz last year in Detroit. Word is Martz in not impressed with Smith’s decision-making and has been too mechanical.
The 49ers have been exceptionally pleased with wide receiver Josh Morgan, who has made the most of opportunities, due to injuries in the receiving core. With San Francisco having lost at Oakland in week one, the Niners are 4-6-1 ATS in last 11 road excursions. O’Sullivan will make his third straight start for San Fran and might be setting himself up to make first ever regular season start at the not so tender age of 29.
Sportsbook.com has Chicago as three-point favorites, with total at 37. Fox Sports will have the telecast at 8 Eastern from Soldier Field and the Bears are 8-20 ATS in the last two weeks of the preseason.
StatFox Power Line –Bears by 1
Chicago at Washington
2007-12-06
Bad got worse for the Redskins this past Sunday when Buffalo beat the grieving team in the finals seconds. The loss was the 4th straight for HC Joe Gibbs’ club, who is stricken by the death of stud S Sean Taylor, and will have attended his funeral just days prior to this Thursday dual with Chicago.
With games remaining vs. three playoff caliber clubs after this week, the matchup vs. Chicago has become a must-win. Fortunately for Washington, the Bears are reeling too, having suffered a key defeat against the Giants, of the late comeback variety as well. Chicago comes into this game on a slide of 6-23 ATS in December road contests. However, the road team in this head-to-head series is 4-0 ATS, and the Redskins are 0-8 ATS the L2 seasons vs. teams with a losing record.
Chicago and Washington are hanging unto the hope they can put together a late season run to snag the last wild card berth available. Chicago is trying to do it with mirrors as the defense is ranked in the lower 20’s in yards allowed, being gashed on the ground and thru the air. Rex Grossman is back in control of the offense and seems to have a more mature approach to the game, being less a risk taker. The running game has been negligible all season and won’t improve with career back-up Adrian Peterson.
Washington is still dealing with the shock and grief of losing Sean Taylor. He was maturing as a person by all accounts with first child and coming into his own as a safety in new role. Joe Gibbs has to have his team grieve in private because the Bears or nobody else on the schedule is going to cut Washington any slack because of this senseless tragedy. The defensive line has played with more fervor of late and will need to step up the rest of the season. The offense line has become more cohesive after the ton of early season injuries.
Keys to the Game- On this Thursday night week 13 opener, the Washington offense is showing progress with Clinton Portis becoming more a force in the running game. With the Bears less than ferocious run defense, Washington could produce a balanced attack. Whichever quarterback does a better job protecting the ball to prevent turnovers, there team will have an edge. Grossman has the assets on the perimeter to attack the Redskins secondary that had problems with the deep ball before the upheaval. Chicago is on the road on a short week and is 2-8 ATS after two consecutive home games. Washington is a meager 1-8 ATS this month off non-division victory.
Trends
Chicago is 6-23 ATS in road games in December games.
Washington is 6-2 ATS against the Bears.
StatFox Pick – Washington covers